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2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -5 (86-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Muniz 38 8-11 3-4 1-2 3 4 2 0 0 20 18 -
J. Butler 34 2-5 1-3 4-5 4 3 0 0 0 9 11 -
B. Rechsteiner 30 8-13 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 18 11 -
K. Jorgensen 22 2-4 0-1 4-4 1 7 0 0 2 8 10 -
C. Booth 20 3-7 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
R. Mbemba 20 4-5 0-1 5-6 5 3 0 1 0 13 17 -
A. Kiudulas 18 3-4 0-1 0-3 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Slater 18 2-5 0-1 5-6 1 2 2 1 1 9 9 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibbs-Lawhorn 37 11-21 6-12 3-3 1 1 1 0 3 31 10 -
K. Hamilton 34 5-9 2-4 1-1 8 2 0 1 1 13 14 -
H. Fleming Jr. 34 4-6 0-1 1-2 10 5 1 1 1 9 19 -
T. Jones 29 7-9 0-1 6-9 4 0 2 2 0 20 19 -
I. Williamson 29 1-6 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 5 2 -
W. Brown 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
E. Stephen 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bannarbie 6 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Green 5 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter