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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 85.2% 14.8% -9.6 (36.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% -
Points Off/Def 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +27 (92-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Falslev 35 5-11 2-6 8-11 11 4 3 0 2 20 25 -
D. Allen 33 4-7 2-4 1-2 2 5 0 2 2 11 11 -
T. Anderson 24 6-11 1-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 0 15 12 -
K. King 24 2-7 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
MJ Collins 24 2-10 0-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -5 -
Z. Keller 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
K. Templin 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 7 5 -
A. Elamin 11 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
G. Clark 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Perryman 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Kearney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Barnes 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Fleming Jr. 37 4-10 1-5 3-3 10 12 2 0 2 12 24 -
K. Hamilton 34 10-14 1-4 3-3 7 3 1 1 1 24 21 -
W. Brown 30 2-8 0-2 1-3 5 3 0 2 2 5 5 -
T. Jones 29 8-10 0-0 1-1 4 3 0 1 2 17 13 -
D. Gibbs-Lawhorn 28 3-8 2-6 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 10 7 -
I. Williamson 23 5-7 5-7 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 15 11 -
J. Bannarbie 16 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
E. Stephen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Cunningham 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter