Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Price | 31 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +13.3 |
| V. Weems | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +15.5 |
| C. Bailey III | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +11.7 |
| T. Rolison | 22 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 7-11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | +9.9 |
| T. Comer | 22 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -3.5 |
| P. White | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +10.3 |
| K. Lowery | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -4.5 |
| A. Robinson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -10.5 |
| J. Coleman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.2 |
| M. Walker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
| E. Croley | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.9 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Muniz | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -7.8 |
| B. Rechsteiner | 30 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -2.9 |
| C. Booth | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | +5.2 |
| J. Pascarelli | 27 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -17.5 |
| A. Kiudulas | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -4.1 |
| J. Butler | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +6.3 |
| N. Djapa | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +0.4 |
| J. McIver | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| D. Slater | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| J. Mekonnen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
* = starter