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Gonzaga Bulldogs 59
@
Saint Mary's Gaels 70
2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% - ✗
Margin 70.4% 29.6% -4.8 ✗ (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% - ✗

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Innocenti 37 3-8 1-3 0-2 9 4 1 0 0 7 13 +0.8
G. Ike 35 7-14 2-5 1-1 4 1 0 0 4 17 4 +0.9
A. Miller 30 5-13 1-5 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 14 3 +0.9
T. Grant-Foster 28 4-8 1-1 4-4 6 2 0 3 5 13 11 +0.9
D. Fogle 27 3-8 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 6 6 -
M. Saint-Supéry 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Smith 20 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
I. Diagne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dent 40 5-12 4-6 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 14 4 -
M. Lewis 37 10-21 7-13 4-4 5 4 1 0 1 31 19 -0.8
D. Shaw 36 0-6 0-4 0-0 10 4 3 3 1 0 13 -0.7
P. Murauskas 31 2-10 1-4 4-4 8 2 0 0 3 9 6 -0.8
H. Wessels 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 0 2 9 -0.8
A. McKeever 12 1-7 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Juzenas 10 4-6 4-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 8 -0.8
R. Hawke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Campbell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter