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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers La Salle Explorers Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% -

Actual: La Salle Explorers -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Stephens 36 5-7 2-2 2-2 4 5 1 0 2 14 15 +23.2
O. Leung 33 4-10 3-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 4 12 5 +14.5
N. Lear 25 5-13 0-2 4-8 7 2 0 0 0 14 10 +4.9
M. O'Riordan 24 5-13 1-2 5-6 4 0 1 0 2 16 6 +6.6
A. Madol 22 1-5 0-2 1-2 8 3 1 0 1 3 9 +5.0
S. Dawkins 16 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -4.9
F. Ibrahim 16 1-1 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 0 2 2 6 +3.5
M. Johnson 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -12.7
M.G. Talle 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 5 6 +13.8
J. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -9.2

La Salle Explorers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Macktoon 38 4-17 0-3 2-5 12 1 2 1 2 10 7 -12.2
A. Connor 35 6-12 0-1 5-6 4 5 1 1 2 17 14 -8.2
J. Quinn 29 3-7 1-2 6-7 3 3 1 0 1 13 12 -5.9
I. Miljanic 26 1-5 0-4 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 3 0 -11.7
A. Moses 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 6 3 4 5 -12.0
A. Przyszlak 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 +1.3
K. Williams 17 3-8 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 8 2 +0.6
L. Patnode 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 +3.2
S. Jenkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.1

* = starter