Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -14 (61-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jones | 33 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| G. Sprouse | 31 | 10-13 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 25 | - |
| M. Mayock | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Iturbe | 28 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Collins | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Sebastian | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| W. Nausadis | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| C. Eagan | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Hogans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Phillips | 37 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Butler | 37 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| C. Humphrey-Rembert | 34 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Pettit | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Murdock | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Jackson | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Bednostin | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter