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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 41.0% 59.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: American University Eagles -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Butler 37 2-5 1-1 6-10 4 4 0 0 2 11 12 +2.0
A. Phillips 36 9-12 5-7 0-0 5 1 4 0 1 23 20 +3.0
C. Williams 35 6-16 2-9 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 16 5 +2.0
C. Humphrey-Rembert 32 3-7 0-4 0-0 9 1 1 1 0 6 11 -
R. Pettit 22 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 3 2 0 0 3 5 +4.0
S. Jackson 21 3-7 0-0 2-5 4 0 0 3 3 8 5 +3.0
K. Murdock 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 3 +2.1
J. Wyche 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0
M. Bednostin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Bevilacqua 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mayock 33 3-7 1-3 4-4 3 2 1 0 0 11 10 -2.1
G. Sprouse 31 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 5 4 -2.1
M. Collins 26 5-11 0-1 1-3 7 4 0 2 2 11 11 -0.1
J. Iturbe 24 5-10 1-5 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 12 7 -1.0
W. Nausadis 24 3-7 0-3 2-2 2 0 3 0 2 8 4 -1.1
K. Sebastian 22 1-4 1-2 1-2 4 2 1 1 1 4 7 -2.1
G. Jones 15 3-5 2-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 10 6 -2.0
C. Eagan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
D. Hogans 10 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -1.0
L. Brown 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2.0

* = starter