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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Fordham Rams Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -
Points Off/Def 55.8% 44.2% -

Actual: Fordham Rams -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mincy 37 4-10 0-4 2-2 5 0 3 0 1 10 7 +7.0
M. Troutman 32 2-4 1-3 1-2 8 2 1 1 1 6 13 +5.4
R. Allenspach 25 8-14 0-2 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 18 9 +1.7
F. Hill 24 1-5 0-1 9-10 6 2 1 1 2 11 14 +3.5
J. Long 23 1-2 0-0 4-4 2 7 0 0 0 6 13 +9.3
S. Sivka 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 +5.1
M. Presley 13 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.1
D. Adebayo 12 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 5 +6.8
E. Kanga 11 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -3.1
N. Ellington 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -2.8

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reaves 36 6-19 1-5 3-5 3 5 1 2 3 16 5 -6.9
A. Jacobs 33 1-8 0-4 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 2 0 -7.4
R. Schulte 31 2-9 0-1 2-2 16 1 1 0 0 6 15 +2.1
J. Whitbourn 28 6-11 1-2 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 14 8 -5.3
L. Lesmond 26 1-6 1-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 3 5 -3.7
K. Price 22 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 7 -2.7
M. Greene 22 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -4.5
J. O'Toole 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.2

* = starter