🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Fordham Rams Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Fordham Rams -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Johnston 29 6-10 2-3 6-7 6 6 1 0 0 20 23 -10.2
A.J. Lopez 28 5-10 3-3 3-4 2 0 3 0 0 16 11 -9.0
A. Argabright 24 3-10 1-2 3-3 4 2 2 0 0 10 8 -2.0
J. Daughtry 21 4-6 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 10 5 -7.1
J. Beagle 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 4 0 0 0 4 7 -2.1
M. Walz 20 5-7 4-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 14 11 -7.9
M. Tyne 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.9
W. Harper III 17 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -2.0
A. Roumoglou 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 4 -2.1
D. Thomas 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -0.0

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Schulte 37 7-12 0-3 3-7 11 1 0 1 4 17 14 +10.1
D. Reaves 33 7-14 1-4 4-5 5 5 1 0 1 19 15 +10.1
A. Jacobs 32 1-4 0-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 4 7 +10.1
J. Whitbourn 29 5-6 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 0 3 12 15 +6.9
M. Greene 27 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 2 +10.0
C. Henry 27 3-11 2-6 5-8 3 5 0 0 3 13 7 -
L. Lesmond 15 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 +3.1

* = starter