Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.2% | 5.8% | -15.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Carlyle | 37 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Moretti | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| I. Elohim | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. Williams | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Parker | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| X. Pintelon | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Y. Sissoko | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| V. Neugebauer | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Amkou | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Langenfeld | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Simpson | 38 | 3-18 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| B. Moss | 32 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Njie | 32 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| K. Rayfield | 30 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| LJ Brown | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Akitoby | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Coffi | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hayes | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter