Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dozier | 36 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4 | -4.1 |
| S. Pissis | 35 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | -5.5 |
| P.J. Eason | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -5.0 |
| Ko. Davis | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -4.5 |
| J. Graham | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| L. Hutchinson | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +9.3 |
| G. Kincy | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +2.4 |
| B. Abdur-Rahman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +9.3 |
| J. Flippin | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.8 |
| S. Onu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Simpson | 36 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +0.6 |
| J. Stanback | 32 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +8.9 |
| T. Byrd | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -8.4 |
| C. Palesse | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +8.3 |
| A. Anderson | 21 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -6 | +5.8 |
| D. Yates | 19 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -4.9 |
| J. Walker | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +3.6 |
| T. Mack | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.7 |
| R. King | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.4 |
| M. Andrews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
* = starter