Alabama State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
69.7
PPG
78.7
Opp
-9.0
Margin
34.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
40.7
RPG
10.3
APG
16.7
TO
73.6
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
74.5
Adj Opp PPG
#317
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 721 (#333) | Preseason prior 723 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -35, transfers -1, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 834 (#345) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 839 (#344) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.9 (#247) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.9 (#247) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.134 (#320) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.340 (#271) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.332 (#269) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.322 (#317) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.325 (#316) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 74.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.281 (#307) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.281 (#307) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 818 (#337) | RD 222 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.233 (#339) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 66 - 97 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Georgia Gwinnett Grizzlies | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Oklahoma Panhandle PANHANDLE ST | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | San José State Spartans | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Fresno State Bulldogs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul McMillan IV
|
G | 3 | 33.3 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 13.0 | 6.7 | -33 | 1 | -33.0 | -36.2 | 35.9 | 53.8 | 66.7 | -0.77 | 50.1 | 44.9 |
Terrance Hampton
|
F | 3 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 13.0 | -8 | 1 | -8.0 | -19.2 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.21 | 60.5 | 47.6 |
Michael James
|
G | 3 | 31.7 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 12.7 | 1.0 | -28 | 1 | -28.0 | -32.0 | 28.9 | 27.8 | 71.4 | -1.71 | 38.9 | 35.5 |
Tre Powell
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 10.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -9 | 1 | -9.0 | -41.4 | 52.6 | 55.6 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 80.5 | 78.9 |
Damarion Bonds
|
G | 3 | 25.3 | 6.7 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 5.7 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -3.9 | 25.0 | 7.1 | 50.0 | 0.29 | 28.9 | 26.6 |
Isaiah Barganier
|
F | 3 | 17.0 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 7.0 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -10.6 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 77.8 | -0.38 | 53.5 | 40.9 |
Joseph Scott
|
F | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -11 | 1 | -11.0 | -24.5 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.59 | 18.4 | 20.0 |
Noah Benny
|
G | 3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -21 | 1 | -21.0 | -58.1 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.73 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
Marquintez Dixon
|
F | 3 | 17.0 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.7 | -21 | 1 | -21.0 | -49.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.52 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
Trey Miller
|
G | 2 | 16.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
JaSteven Walker
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | -17 | 1 | -17.0 | -71.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.42 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
Jackson Rogers
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Amaree Brown
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Prince Mensah
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Hasting Stewart
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -51.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
192 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Paul McMillan IVTre PowellMichael JamesTerrance HamptonDamarion BondsJaSteven Walker
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 27-64 | 42.2 | 54 | Terrance Hampton 30% (16 pts) | Damarion Bonds 26% (14 pts) | Damarion Bonds 27% (10 misses) | Paul McMillan IV 24% (9 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 8-28 | 28.6 | 16 | Paul McMillan IV 38% (6 pts) | Terrance Hampton 25% (4 pts) | Paul McMillan IV 40% (8 misses) | Michael James 30% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Paul McMillan IV 67% (4 pts) | Trey Miller 33% (2 pts) | JaSteven Walker 20% (1 misses) | Joseph Scott 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Michael James 50% (1 misses) | Paul McMillan IV 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Michael James 100% (6 pts) | - | Michael James 56% (5 misses) | Damarion Bonds 11% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-11 | 27.3 | 9 | Michael James 33% (3 pts) | Noah Benny 33% (3 pts) | Michael James 25% (2 misses) | Tre Powell 25% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Tre Powell 100% (3 pts) | - | Damarion Bonds 33% (1 misses) | Michael James 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-23 | 30.4 | 21 | Tre Powell 57% (12 pts) | Damarion Bonds 14% (3 pts) | Damarion Bonds 25% (4 misses) | Michael James 25% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-13 | 38.5 | 15 | Paul McMillan IV 60% (9 pts) | Tre Powell 40% (6 pts) | Paul McMillan IV 38% (3 misses) | Damarion Bonds 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-27 | 37.0 | 30 | Michael James 40% (12 pts) | Tre Powell 30% (9 pts) | Damarion Bonds 29% (5 misses) | Michael James 29% (5 misses) |