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2026-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% -
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Log Adjusted 5.1% 94.9% -
Points Off/Def 19.2% 80.8% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Royal 36 2-8 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -3 -3.9
J. Mobley Jr. 35 9-16 4-9 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 22 7 -11.9
B. Thornton 34 3-11 1-5 3-4 9 2 1 0 2 10 9 -12.0
C. Tilly 30 6-12 2-4 3-5 4 2 2 0 3 17 10 -0.7
A. Bynum 29 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 1 -7.8
I. Njegovan 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -10.0
C. White 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1.1
G. Cupps 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.3
T. Chatman 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.6
P. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.9

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 31 7-13 1-5 3-7 9 4 3 0 4 18 17 +15.4
A. Mara 29 3-4 0-0 5-7 6 1 2 4 4 11 16 +4.9
M. Johnson Jr. 27 6-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 12 15 +10.1
E. Cadeau 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 8 1 0 4 6 7 +5.2
T. McKenney 21 3-5 1-3 5-6 4 0 0 0 0 12 11 +11.6
R. Gayle Jr. 21 2-6 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 5 4 +5.2
L.J. Cason 18 3-6 0-3 0-1 1 0 2 0 0 6 3 +8.7
N. Burnett 14 1-6 1-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 4 2 -5.3
W. Tschetter 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 +7.6

* = starter