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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Lipscomb Bisons UNC Asheville Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% -
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lipscomb Bisons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Asman * 30 7-11 5-7 3-4 11 2 0 1 1 22 24 -0.5
M. Esmeraldo * 29 5-15 0-6 2-2 3 6 2 0 2 12 6 -3.0
E. Duncan * 23 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 2 1 -3.9
R. Candelino * 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 5 8 -1.7
C. Williams * 19 0-2 0-2 4-4 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -9.9
O. Ashkenazi 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -7.0
T. Sargiunas 20 4-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 8 4 -3.9
C. Middleton 16 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -4.2
K. Boylan 14 1-3 0-1 1-3 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 +0.7
K. Okpara 5 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 +8.0

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mayfield * 38 2-4 0-0 2-5 4 0 1 0 1 6 6 +5.6
K. Taylor * 38 5-12 0-4 6-10 7 5 0 1 2 16 15 +3.0
J. Wright * 34 10-15 4-7 5-5 2 2 0 0 6 29 12 +12.1
T. Solomon * 31 3-9 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 6 5 +11.9
D. Thomas * 19 2-3 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 0 1 6 11 +1.8
J. Clarke 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 3 -2.4
J. Powell 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 -7.2
S. Tolentino 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter