Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | -1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -2 (101-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Baker * | 43 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +7.3 |
| N. Jones * | 42 | 11-17 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 29 | +10.0 |
| E. Placer * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +6.8 |
| B. Akanmu * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Awoke * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -10.9 |
| Z. Fitch | 35 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20 | +18.0 |
| S. Smith | 15 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +8.9 |
| B. Basil | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -7.9 |
| E. Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.2 |
| M. Cooper | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.9 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dinkins * | 45 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 12-14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | -6.2 |
| J. Winston * | 35 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +0.7 |
| F. Roxburgh * | 32 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +2.5 |
| M. Ljubicic * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -4.3 |
| E. Oliver-Bush * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -8.2 |
| T. Jones | 37 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -6.8 |
| A. Isaac | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | -9.4 |
| Q. Elliott | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter