Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 40 | 11-22 | 5-11 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. | 39 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Hamilton | 39 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| W. Brown | 32 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Jones | 30 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| I. Williamson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Bannarbie | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mason Abittan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 35 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| BJ Davis | 26 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 17 | - |
| M. Byrd | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Gwath | 18 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Heide | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Simmons | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Oden | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. Compton | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Lawin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Harrington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter