Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Byrd | 32 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | +8.7 |
| R. Dixon-Waters | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | -0.1 |
| E. Harrington | 26 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +1.5 |
| T. DeGourville | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +12.5 |
| T. Simmons | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +17.5 |
| BJ Davis | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -2.4 |
| M. Heide | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4.9 |
| P. Compton | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.6 |
| J. Oden | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.3 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Moore Jr. | 35 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -4.3 |
| N. Owusu-Anane | 34 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -3.7 |
| J. Henley | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | -3.9 |
| M. Williams | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -0.5 |
| C. Shaw | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -9.1 |
| D. Evans | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +7.6 |
| E. Demirel | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -16.4 |
| D. Stromer | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| W. Breidenbach | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 |
* = starter