Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +4.8 |
| M. Byrd | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +12.8 |
| BJ Davis | 21 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +13.0 |
| E. Harrington | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +8.8 |
| P. Compton | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +8.6 |
| M. Heide | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1.4 |
| M. Gwath | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +3.4 |
| T. DeGourville | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +5.2 |
| J. Oden | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -8.9 |
| S. Newman Jr. | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 |
| T. Simmons | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.7 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Washington | 38 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | -4.7 |
| C. Garland | 37 | 7-21 | 2-11 | 14-14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 9 | -5.3 |
| M. Bell Jr. | 35 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Langford | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -10.7 |
| A. Myers | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -5.3 |
| J. Moupadele | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| P. Goodarzi | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -8.3 |
| Y. Moundi | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -5.4 |
| M. Overstreet | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.5 |
* = starter