🐻⬇️🏀

Las Vegas Aces 83
@
Indiana Fever 90
2025-09-28

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - ✗
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (90-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 38 6-10 2-4 4-4 5 9 0 0 2 18 20 -
C. Gray 38 4-13 3-7 1-1 2 9 4 0 5 12 9 -
A. Wilson 36 14-24 0-0 3-6 9 3 4 3 3 31 23 -
J. Loyd 32 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 6 2 -
N. Smith 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 8 3 -
M. Gustafson 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Evans 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
K. Bell 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Stokes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mitchell 39 9-20 2-5 5-6 3 4 0 0 3 25 9 -
L. Hull 38 2-12 1-7 2-4 7 1 4 1 2 7 6 -
A. Boston 34 7-15 0-0 10-13 14 5 2 2 2 24 30 -
N. Howard 26 2-6 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 7 2 -
O. Sims 25 6-9 1-1 5-6 1 2 1 0 2 18 11 -
S. Peddy 16 3-4 0-1 1-1 3 1 2 0 1 7 8 -
M. Timpson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
B. Turner 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
A. Powers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter