Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -12 (72-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 38 | 6-20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Gray | 36 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Young | 34 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| N. Smith | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Loyd | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Evans | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Bell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Boston | 38 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 37 | 8-26 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | -2 | - |
| L. Hull | 32 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| S. Peddy | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| O. Sims | 19 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Timpson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| N. Howard | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Turner | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Powers | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter