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2025-09-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Sims 32 7-12 1-2 3-5 0 7 1 0 6 18 8 -
K. Mitchell 31 4-14 1-6 4-4 1 5 2 0 3 13 4 -
A. Boston 29 5-9 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 0 3 10 14 -
L. Hull 29 5-16 5-11 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 15 4 -
B. Turner 25 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
N. Howard 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 6 6 -
S. Peddy 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
A. Powers 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
B. Hall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Timpson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wilson 33 10-18 1-1 4-4 9 1 5 2 3 25 21 -
J. Young 32 5-11 2-5 1-1 5 5 0 0 3 13 9 -
C. Gray 31 2-6 0-0 2-3 1 10 3 0 3 6 11 -
N. Smith 30 7-9 0-0 4-9 7 1 1 0 2 18 16 -
J. Loyd 26 2-3 2-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 10 9 -
D. Evans 19 5-9 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 10 6 -
K. Bell 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 4 5 -
M. Gustafson 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Nye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Parker-Tyus 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Stokes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter