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2025-09-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -16 (73-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hull 35 2-6 1-3 1-2 2 2 0 1 0 6 5 -
K. Mitchell 34 12-23 4-6 6-6 1 3 2 0 3 34 14 -
O. Sims 32 7-13 0-1 3-3 2 3 3 0 1 17 11 -
A. Boston 29 3-9 0-2 0-0 11 5 0 0 2 6 11 -
B. Turner 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
N. Howard 22 4-5 0-0 4-4 11 3 2 0 2 12 21 -
S. Peddy 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
A. Powers 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Timpson 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Hall 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 35 9-16 1-5 0-1 7 2 0 0 5 19 7 -
C. Gray 34 5-12 2-5 1-1 5 4 1 0 2 13 9 -
A. Wilson 34 6-22 0-1 4-5 13 1 0 4 3 16 9 -
J. Loyd 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 3 2 -
D. Evans 23 6-9 1-1 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 14 10 -
K. Bell 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Smith 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Gustafson 8 0-0 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Parker-Tyus 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Stokes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter