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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Georgia State Panthers New Mexico State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +11.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% -

Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Tucker * 39 6-16 1-7 2-2 4 3 4 0 1 15 9 -4.9
M. Brown * 37 2-9 0-5 5-6 6 5 0 0 4 9 7 -4.8
A. Berthe * 33 3-10 3-9 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 10 1 +2.6
J. Chappelle * 29 6-16 2-5 0-1 11 1 0 0 1 14 9 +3.1
C. Beam * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 1 4 9 -
T. Scott III 22 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4.8
C. Jones 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.0
I. Sherrard 5 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5.0
J. Cooper 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -8.0

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones * 25 4-13 0-1 4-5 6 2 3 0 0 12 10 +5.9
J. Mims * 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 0 6 12 -3.2
C. Malonga * 19 1-3 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 1 5 9 +6.8
G. Pickens * 17 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 +4.9
A. Wrzeszcz * 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -4.1
J. Randall 23 3-8 3-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 9 9 +4.8
C. Terrell 21 4-10 1-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 11 6 -1.1
E. Elliott 20 4-11 3-6 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 11 6 +4.1
K. Mullen 17 3-6 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 6 3 -2.2
J. Osborne 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 7 10 +7.9
A. Doyle 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
T. Eaglestaff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter