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2025-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 76.9% 23.1% -
Bradley-Terry 70.1% 29.9% -
Margin 88.2% 11.8% -11.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% -
Points Off/Def 72.3% 27.7% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ike * 34 4-7 0-1 12-15 9 2 0 2 5 20 21 +4.8
B. Smith * 27 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 9 0 0 1 1 9 -2.4
B. Huff * 20 4-5 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 11 8 +1.8
A. Miller * 20 3-9 2-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 10 3 -6.2
E. Innocenti * 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 3 -6.1
J. Warley 27 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 +11.3
T. Grant-Foster 22 5-12 0-3 4-6 12 2 0 2 2 14 16 +11.1
S. Venters 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 2 +13.0
M. Saint-Supéry 13 0-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 4 6 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Odum * 37 4-15 4-11 0-0 1 7 0 0 5 12 0 -3.8
B. Ford * 32 3-7 3-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 7 +6.1
M. Diop * 30 4-10 0-1 3-6 4 0 2 2 1 11 8 -6.0
S. Trouet * 29 3-6 0-1 4-5 11 1 1 2 1 10 18 -6.7
A. Grbović * 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
A. Johnson 23 4-8 1-1 1-5 2 3 1 0 1 10 7 -12.9
A. Mukeba 15 0-2 0-1 2-3 1 1 1 2 0 2 5 +2.3
M. Adams Jr. 10 1-4 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -8.3
T. Best 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.0
K. Polk 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter