🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 73.7% 26.3% -
Margin 75.3% 24.7% -6.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 82.7% 17.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% -
Log Adjusted 82.0% 18.0% -
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Townsend 33 6-12 2-5 4-6 7 4 1 0 3 18 15 +6.0
I. Celiscar 30 4-7 1-2 0-1 6 2 1 1 0 9 12 -1.0
C. Simmons 28 4-7 1-3 7-8 3 1 1 1 1 16 14 +6.0
J. Brathwaite 25 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 6 +6.0
T. Mullin 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 +6.0
S. Aletan 24 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 1 3 2 4 +7.0
D. Arlington 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
R. Fox 12 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Sullivan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
J. Basima 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Noland 40 7-18 3-11 3-3 2 2 5 0 2 20 9 -
M. Ritter 33 4-6 0-0 2-3 9 1 0 0 1 10 13 -6.0
B. Thompson 31 3-10 0-4 1-1 2 1 3 0 1 7 2 -7.0
M. Franklin 28 3-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 6 7 -6.0
C. Igoe 24 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -2 -6.1
H. Sanders 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 -6.0
R. Soulis 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
G. O'Keefe 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Coleman 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
R. Nweke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter