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2026-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 79.7% 20.3% -
Bradley-Terry 91.5% 8.5% -
Margin 92.0% 8.0% -13.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.4% 30.6% -
Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% -
Log Adjusted 92.8% 7.2% -
Points Off/Def 75.1% 24.9% -

Actual: Brown Bears -17 (53-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Townsend 36 2-10 0-3 6-8 10 5 2 1 3 10 15 +14.2
T. Mullin 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 9 5 +17.2
S. Aletan 29 5-7 0-0 3-6 9 2 0 4 0 13 21 +11.2
I. Celiscar 29 2-7 1-2 3-4 4 3 0 0 0 8 8 +18.1
C. Simmons 22 3-5 1-1 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 7 11 +12.1
R. Fox 22 8-11 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 18 7 +7.1
J. Brathwaite 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 +5.2
D. Arlington 14 1-2 1-1 0-2 3 2 2 0 3 3 5 +1.1
J. Sullivan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lewis 34 7-12 0-0 2-3 8 1 0 2 1 16 14 -12.3
J. Jenkins 32 1-10 1-6 0-0 3 10 3 0 4 3 5 -15.2
A. Uchidiuno 31 4-11 4-10 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 14 6 -16.2
M. Wrisby-Jefferson 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -8.2
D. Rochester 22 1-9 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 2 1 -10.2
N. Dabo 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -5.1
I. Langham 15 1-8 0-5 1-3 4 0 2 1 1 3 1 -9.1
C. O'Sullivan 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
L. Paragon 12 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 +2.0

* = starter