Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.6% | 13.4% | -10.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Townsend * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -2.7 |
| I. Celiscar * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +3.4 |
| C. Simmons * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
| S. Aletan * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| T. Mullin * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +4.4 |
| R. Fox | 24 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 10 | +7.1 |
| J. Brathwaite | 17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.0 |
| D. Arlington | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.0 |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Yalden * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +0.9 |
| TJ Hurley * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +2.6 |
| S. Blake * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -2.1 |
| N. Barnett * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1.3 |
| J. Skipper * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.9 |
| TJ Long | 30 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | -5.5 |
| B. Michaels | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| M. Nkugwa | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.9 |
| D. Simon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter