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2025-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall * 38 6-14 5-12 3-4 8 1 0 0 2 20 13 -1.5
P. Ruedinger * 35 4-12 2-4 0-0 6 7 0 0 0 10 11 -0.6
C.J. O'Hara * 32 5-8 0-2 5-8 3 1 1 0 1 15 11 -9.0
M. Cicic * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 2 1 -0.9
M. Wrecke * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.9
J. Allen 25 3-10 0-5 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 7 0 -1.9
C. Wilkins 23 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 3 2 -7.7
L. Thomas 18 2-3 0-0 6-11 4 2 1 0 1 10 13 -4.0

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Celiscar * 34 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 8 5 +1.5
N. Townsend * 33 3-8 1-1 6-8 5 4 1 0 2 13 13 +3.7
C. Simmons * 28 3-8 0-3 5-6 5 3 0 0 1 11 10 -2.3
S. Aletan * 27 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 2 0 10 11 +7.7
T. Mullin * 23 2-5 2-3 1-2 2 3 2 0 1 7 8 +0.8
D. Arlington 21 2-4 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 4 8 +4.7
J. Brathwaite 17 3-5 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 +8.7
R. Fox 17 5-7 1-3 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 11 4 +2.7

* = starter