Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Callaghan | 33 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -7.8 |
| T. Burch | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -0.6 |
| D. Pangonis | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -3.0 |
| M. Imariagbe | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | -10.9 |
| K. Pickett | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -2.2 |
| L. Woods | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | -2.8 |
| S. Alamutu | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -4.9 |
| A. Holden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.5 |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. D'Augustino | 38 | 13-24 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 14 | +6.9 |
| F. Woodward | 38 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +0.7 |
| M. Mitchell | 28 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4.5 |
| M. Davis | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +8.8 |
| J. Edwards | 26 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +3.7 |
| A. Miller | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +3.9 |
| R. Hagy | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
| M. Compas | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.4 |
* = starter