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2025-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Log Adjusted 28.6% 71.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Brown Bears +19 (68-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nugent * 35 6-12 4-9 1-3 6 1 0 0 1 17 11 -12.0
G. Warren * 30 5-8 1-2 2-4 3 1 4 0 0 13 13 -13.9
A. Richard * 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 3 3 -13.6
T. Boston * 26 2-10 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 0 -16.3
A. Disu * 24 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 7 0 -8.3
D. Williams 22 1-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 +4.5
J. St. Germain III 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Ryan 12 0-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -4.8
J. Haigh 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.2
J. Kirkwood 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
C. Hare 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Langham * 35 7-16 2-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 18 1 +11.7
N. Dabo * 30 4-6 0-0 3-4 12 0 0 1 1 11 17 +8.0
J. Jenkins * 23 2-4 1-3 0-1 8 6 5 0 5 5 15 +17.3
D. Rochester * 21 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 6 9 +10.3
L. Paragon * 17 2-5 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 8 9 +4.5
A. Uchidiuno 26 6-9 4-6 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 16 9 +8.3
M. Wrisby-Jefferson 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 3 -2.6
B. Loughlin 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -4.3
C. O'Sullivan 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
W. DeGraaf 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +3.8
J. Drezner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Kania 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter