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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (26.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -25 (54-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Eisendrath 34 6-9 1-2 0-0 1 5 5 0 0 13 15 +31.3
C. Pigge 32 3-9 1-4 4-4 7 2 3 1 4 11 11 +22.3
R. Hinton 30 8-12 1-1 0-0 4 3 2 1 2 17 13 +18.3
T. Barbour 28 3-8 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 9 8 +24.3
T. Batties II 27 8-12 3-6 5-5 5 4 1 1 0 24 23 +18.4
A. Hunt 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 0 4 +12.1
L. Ace-Nasteski 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 2 5 +7.0
X. Nesbitt 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.9
F. Mannino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9
R. Sullivan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.9
D. Dowdell 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -0.9

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thompson 34 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 5 1 -32.4
K. Noland 32 4-14 0-4 2-2 5 2 1 0 4 10 0 -20.2
G. O'Keefe 31 3-11 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 -2 -11.4
M. Franklin 25 4-9 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 1 2 8 3 -15.2
M. Ritter 21 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 -17.9
R. Soulis 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 6 9 -21.3
C. Igoe 18 4-5 0-1 1-1 3 3 3 0 0 9 13 -4.1
H. Sanders 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -5.1
R. Nweke 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.9

* = starter