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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -
Bradley-Terry 75.1% 24.9% -
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.4% 33.6% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Log Adjusted 82.6% 17.4% -
Points Off/Def 62.3% 37.7% -

Actual: Georgia State Panthers +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Fricks 35 9-16 3-8 0-0 10 1 3 2 2 21 19 +9.1
N. Otshudi 29 4-11 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 11 1 +1.7
J. Speer 25 1-5 0-3 1-2 5 8 1 1 5 3 8 +10.9
L. Joseph 22 4-6 3-4 4-6 1 1 2 0 3 15 10 +9.1
E. Harding 20 0-0 0-0 1-6 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 +0.9
W. Dubinsky 18 0-6 0-3 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 2 3 -2.0
C. Hollenbeck 18 2-9 1-8 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 -2 +2.0
M. Van Komen 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 6 9 +9.0
B. Slay 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.9
A. Fuquay 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Hugie 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1.0

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hamilton 36 5-11 1-4 12-13 4 1 4 1 2 23 20 -4.6
M. Tucker 28 4-11 1-3 4-4 5 2 1 0 3 13 7 -4.0
M. Brown 28 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 11 4 -8.9
C. Beam 27 2-4 0-0 7-11 8 0 1 1 0 11 17 -
T. Scott III 26 2-5 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -9.9
J. Newton 17 3-4 1-1 6-6 7 0 1 0 1 13 16 -4.9
A. Berthe 16 0-6 0-6 4-4 2 1 1 0 0 4 2 -2.0
A. Enoh 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -10.9
J. Cooper 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 +1.0

* = starter