Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 44 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | -8.7 |
| K. Davis | 37 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +1.3 |
| D. Hall | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -1.3 |
| K. Gumbs | 28 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | +10.4 |
| R. Fields | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2.4 |
| T. Sant | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Bolden | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -17.6 |
| F. Emmou | 18 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -15.3 |
| M. Willis | 7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +0.3 |
| J. Lee | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Weeks | 42 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | +13.3 |
| C. Lewis | 39 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +5.3 |
| D. Binet | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 22 | +8.2 |
| D. Brumfield | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | +2.0 |
| I. Hart | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +21.2 |
| C. Tramble | 19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +3.4 |
| B. Carruth | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.4 |
| T. Izay | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.1 |
| F. Patino | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.9 |
* = starter