Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Otshudi | 39 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -2.4 |
| J. Speer | 34 | 4-20 | 3-12 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | -8.8 |
| E. Harding | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +5.0 |
| W. Fricks | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +3.0 |
| C. Hollenbeck | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +4.1 |
| A. Fuquay | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Hugie | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7.8 |
| B. Slay | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.0 |
| L. Joseph | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.0 |
| W. Dubinsky | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.9 |
| M. Van Komen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +5.2 |
| J. McBride | 30 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | +4.0 |
| B. Douglas | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3.7 |
| E. Ricks III | 28 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -0.1 |
| P. Fowler | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -0.3 |
| G. Newhof | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.8 |
| O. Egbule | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -0.9 |
| C. Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Jones III | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
* = starter