Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rasmussen | 36 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 34 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Johnson | 30 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| I. Brickner | 30 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Payne | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Rowbury | 19 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Steele | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Klapper | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Joba | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Blassingame | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Sevilla | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lavrenov | 39 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| P. Johnson | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Madi | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Summers | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Robinson | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. O'Neal | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Glover | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Teat | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter