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Idaho Vandals 86
@
Sacramento State Hornets 80
2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 69.6% 30.4% - ✓
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 72.5% 27.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rasmussen 36 6-7 1-1 5-6 6 2 1 0 1 18 19 -
K. Mitchell 34 1-3 0-2 3-4 4 5 1 0 3 5 9 -
B. Johnson 30 7-15 6-11 5-7 9 2 0 0 4 25 17 -
I. Brickner 30 4-14 2-7 1-2 4 2 1 0 3 11 1 -
J. Payne 20 3-7 2-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 10 11 -
B. Rowbury 19 4-10 2-3 4-6 6 2 0 1 0 14 13 -
E. Steele 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 3 7 -
M. Klapper 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Joba 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
T. Blassingame 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Sevilla 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lavrenov 39 7-15 0-2 6-6 12 0 1 0 1 20 17 -
P. Johnson 34 6-14 2-5 1-1 3 6 5 0 1 15 14 -
A. Madi 33 3-6 1-2 8-10 1 2 1 0 0 15 13 -
J. Summers 32 3-7 1-3 4-6 2 2 0 0 3 11 5 -
R. Robinson 26 1-5 0-3 2-2 6 0 2 0 1 4 6 -
S. O'Neal 19 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Glover 11 2-3 1-2 5-6 1 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
J. Teat 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter