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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Idaho Vandals Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Idaho Vandals +30 (99-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brewer 28 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
C. Hollenbeck 27 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 9 5 -
M. Kheil 24 4-10 3-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 11 5 -
C. Van De Griend 20 5-10 0-3 3-3 5 0 2 0 1 13 9 -
C. Sow 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
J. Guerra 19 1-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 -2 -
G. Etchison 19 2-10 0-4 4-5 2 4 0 0 1 8 3 -
E. Otten 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
L. Birley 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Bond 6 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 0 4 8 -
Q. Patterson 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Daberkow 4 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Carpenter 2 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mitchell 29 7-10 4-6 0-0 7 7 2 0 1 18 23 -
B. Rowbury 28 3-6 0-1 4-5 7 2 1 1 1 10 14 -
I. Brickner 28 6-11 1-4 4-6 7 4 1 0 5 17 13 -
J. Rasmussen 27 9-16 3-7 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 21 8 -
T. Blassingame 24 3-5 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Payne 18 2-4 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 7 9 -
B. Johnson 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 7 4 -
S. Joba 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 7 -
M. Klapper 11 3-4 1-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
A. Sevilla 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
E. Steele 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter