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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% -
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (91-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mitchell 34 6-13 5-10 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 19 12 -4.3
J. Rasmussen 34 8-17 2-6 11-13 6 1 0 1 0 29 20 -0.1
B. Johnson 26 1-12 1-6 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 6 -1 -15.9
J. Payne 24 2-6 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 8 3 -1.8
S. Joba 23 2-4 1-2 2-2 7 0 0 1 0 7 11 -11.0
B. Rowbury 21 4-6 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 7 -4.9
T. Blassingame 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1.5
I. Brickner 11 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -8.7
A. Sevilla 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Denker 38 10-17 3-5 12-14 7 10 0 2 1 35 36 +9.2
R. Nyeri 34 4-6 0-0 1-1 10 0 0 3 1 9 15 -1.6
Z. Bloch 31 3-4 2-2 4-5 1 2 1 0 0 12 12 +2.5
B. Wisne 31 7-13 1-3 1-3 6 1 1 1 3 16 9 +7.1
I. Yamazaki 27 1-4 0-2 2-3 7 0 0 0 3 4 4 -4.3
V. Delano 17 2-7 1-4 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 -1 +7.5
E. Shields 12 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 3 2 -2 +10.8
A. Mawien 8 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 5 8 +12.6
H. Caldwell 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +1.0

* = starter