Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lavrenov | 38 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | -8.0 |
| P. Johnson | 38 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -7.3 |
| J. Summers | 35 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -7.9 |
| M. Williams | 28 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -1.4 |
| S. O'Neal | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -6.8 |
| A. Madi | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -5.2 |
| T. Glover | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.2 |
| R. Robinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| J. Teat | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.2 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 39 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | +13.5 |
| B. Johnson | 36 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +7.8 |
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | -1.4 |
| S. Joba | 27 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +21.3 |
| I. Brickner | 26 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | +9.7 |
| A. Sevilla | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +9.9 |
| B. Rowbury | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -19.5 |
| M. Klapper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
* = starter