Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 37 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -11.3 |
| J. Rasmussen | 34 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -5.3 |
| J. Payne | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +0.3 |
| B. Rowbury | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | -5.0 |
| B. Johnson | 24 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -1.1 |
| I. Brickner | 21 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +1.2 |
| S. Joba | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -5.0 |
| T. Blassingame | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4.9 |
| M. Klapper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kheil | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +7.7 |
| L. Brewer | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.1 |
| J. Guerra | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +11.6 |
| C. Hollenbeck | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +4.6 |
| C. Van De Griend | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -1.1 |
| C. Sow | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | +13.6 |
| E. Otten | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Q. Patterson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| G. Etchison | 9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -4.0 |
| B. Daberkow | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +4.0 |
* = starter