Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sawyer | 36 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | +2.3 |
| M. Williams | 36 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 12-14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 20 | +3.1 |
| T. Thompson | 34 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +4.3 |
| G. Kepley | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| T. Isaak | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +8.8 |
| K. Aguino | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +7.9 |
| B. Hicks | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1.3 |
| C. Dick | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.4 |
| T. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| A. Jedkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rasmussen | 33 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -7.4 |
| K. Mitchell | 31 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -1.2 |
| B. Rowbury | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -6.0 |
| B. Johnson | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +0.1 |
| I. Brickner | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -0.7 |
| J. Payne | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.6 |
| T. Blassingame | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
| S. Joba | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.2 |
| M. Klapper | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
* = starter