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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Aberdeen 38 5-14 3-8 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 15 5 -
O. Oweh 35 11-20 1-3 6-8 7 3 1 0 2 29 18 -
M. Dioubate 30 1-5 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 2 1 4 7 -
C. Chandler 25 3-8 1-6 3-3 3 1 0 0 5 10 1 -
M. Moreno 24 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 1 1 7 12 -
T. Noah 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Garrison 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 4 7 -
A. Jelavić 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 5 5 -
J. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hall 37 3-15 1-6 3-3 9 7 1 0 3 10 9 -
T. Pettiford 35 2-9 1-4 4-4 3 3 2 0 5 9 3 -
K. Overton 31 3-6 1-3 3-3 1 0 0 2 0 10 7 -
S. Williams-Adams 29 1-3 0-1 3-6 3 1 2 0 1 5 7 -
E. Freeman 27 5-12 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 11 4 -
K. Murphy 24 9-14 1-1 6-6 10 1 0 2 1 25 23 -
F. Jović 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 3 0 1 5 5 -
B. Muschalek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter