Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | β (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | β |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Aberdeen | 38 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +6.4 |
| O. Oweh | 38 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | +6.6 |
| M. Moreno | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +5.7 |
| M. Dioubate | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2.0 |
| C. Chandler | 23 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -7.0 |
| T. Noah | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +3.2 |
| A. JelaviΔ | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Garrison | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.1 |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -4.0 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Acuff Jr. | 39 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 5 | -3.5 |
| T. Brazile | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 19 | -5.2 |
| B. Richmond III | 28 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +9.3 |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +4.8 |
| M. Ewin | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +10.3 |
| K. Knox | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| D.J. Wagner | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -0.8 |
| N. Pringle | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
* = starter