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Kentucky Wildcats 75
@
LSU Tigers 74
2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.1% 35.9% - βœ“
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 βœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - βœ“
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - βœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -1 (74-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Oweh 37 6-13 3-6 6-10 4 1 2 0 2 21 13 +4.8
D. Aberdeen 34 5-8 2-3 5-5 1 4 0 0 1 17 13 +4.4
K. Williams 28 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 5 2 +1.2
C. Chandler 25 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 9 9 +0.3
A. Jelavić 21 4-7 2-4 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 11 10 -
M. Moreno 20 4-7 0-0 2-3 8 2 2 1 1 10 15 +9.1
B. Garrison 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -12.7
M. Dioubate 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -9.2
J. Johnson 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -8.1

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mackinnon 37 4-16 2-7 6-6 3 3 0 0 2 16 4 +1.9
J. Reece 30 2-7 2-5 5-6 5 4 0 0 1 11 12 +2.3
M. Sutton 30 5-9 3-4 3-4 6 0 0 0 1 16 12 +7.6
P. Tamba 29 3-4 2-2 2-6 4 2 0 1 0 10 13 -3.2
R. King 27 5-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 2 4 12 9 -
R. Miller III 23 3-3 0-0 0-2 7 2 2 2 1 6 15 +7.8
M. Nwoko 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 3 3 2 -1.1
M. Mosley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

* = starter