Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Williams | 33 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -4.8 |
| T. Holloman | 29 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -7.9 |
| Q. Copeland | 28 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +3.6 |
| V. Lubin | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. McNeil | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Able | 23 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| T. Arceneaux | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.4 |
| M. Sagnia | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.3 |
| A. Breed | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.6 |
| S. Ebube | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Overton | 38 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 25 | +11.3 |
| K. Hall | 36 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 20 | +5.4 |
| T. Pettiford | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +5.1 |
| S. Williams-Adams | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +7.5 |
| F. Jović | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| E. Freeman | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +0.9 |
| K. Murphy | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -4.3 |
| K. Magwood | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.3 |
| B. Muschalek | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
* = starter