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2025-05-09

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 16.1% 83.9% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% -

Actual: New York Liberty -8 (86-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Parks 27 3-6 3-6 0-1 1 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
T. Charles 24 6-15 1-2 4-4 6 3 2 0 2 17 11 -
L. Allen 23 2-4 1-2 0-1 2 7 0 0 1 5 9 -
Y. Anderson 22 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 4 2 0 1 6 11 -
M. Mabrey 19 4-9 3-7 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 13 6 -
J. Sheldon 17 5-6 3-4 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 16 11 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 17 4-6 0-0 7-8 7 0 1 2 0 15 19 -
H. Peters 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
A. Okonkwo 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
M. Hayes 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Diaby 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Marshall 5 2-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Burke 23 4-6 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
M. Johannes 21 4-10 4-8 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 12 3 -
M. Davis 19 4-9 0-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 10 3 -
N. Sabally 19 2-4 1-1 0-3 1 3 1 1 3 5 4 -
R. Gardner 18 4-5 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 11 11 -
J. Jones 18 3-6 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 7 6 -
J. Sherrod 17 4-6 2-2 1-1 4 4 3 0 1 11 15 -
S. Ionescu 16 3-4 1-2 1-1 2 6 0 0 3 8 9 -
I. Harrison 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
N. Cloud 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 4 2 1 -
L. Odom 12 2-3 1-1 1-1 0 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
E. Martinez 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter