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2025-05-03

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Sutton 31 0-5 0-3 0-0 7 5 1 0 3 0 5 -
S. Dolson 23 3-4 1-1 3-3 8 2 0 0 1 10 15 -
E. Engstler 23 4-10 1-4 0-1 6 3 2 1 1 9 10 -
J. Melbourne 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 1 2 3 5 -
S. Citron 22 5-6 2-3 3-3 4 2 1 1 3 15 14 -
B. Sykes 21 8-17 2-8 0-1 3 2 1 0 3 18 4 -
A. Prechtel 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -2 -
K. Iriafen 16 2-7 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 0 4 7 2 -
L. Olsen 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -5 -
Z. Green 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
J. Lacey 9 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
K. Cave 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Jones 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cunningham 34 6-11 2-6 7-8 8 2 1 0 4 21 17 -
L. Hull 33 3-11 1-3 6-6 5 4 4 0 3 13 12 -
K. Mitchell 28 4-17 2-10 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 12 -2 -
D. Bonner 27 1-8 0-4 7-7 4 1 2 0 1 9 7 -
A. Boston 26 3-7 1-1 0-0 8 3 2 2 2 7 13 -
N. Howard 20 4-11 0-1 3-3 8 1 0 0 2 11 7 -
S. Colson 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Brown 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Turner 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 4 -
M. Timpson 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Y. Ejim 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter