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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% -
Points Off/Def 20.7% 79.3% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ashworth 39 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 8 0 0 4 13 8 -4.6
R. Kalkbrenner 38 7-13 1-3 3-4 7 1 0 0 2 18 11 -0.7
J. Neal 37 5-13 2-5 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 13 3 -11.8
J. McAndrew 33 4-8 4-8 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 12 13 -14.7
J. Green 23 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 1 -1.1
F. Zugic 20 2-2 2-2 4-6 2 3 1 0 1 10 13 +3.4
I. Traudt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.7
F. King 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.8
J. Townley-Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
M. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
Ty Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
S. Osmani 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.9

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jones 36 5-8 2-2 3-3 1 3 1 0 2 15 10 +13.5
J. Broome 34 4-13 0-4 0-2 12 1 1 2 1 8 10 +4.5
T. Pettiford 32 7-14 2-3 7-8 6 3 0 0 2 23 16 +2.0
M. Kelly 29 1-8 1-5 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 5 -2 +13.1
C. Johnson 25 4-6 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 8 11 -3.1
C. Baker-Mazara 21 6-12 2-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 17 8 +0.8
Dy. Cardwell 21 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 3 1 2 1 6 12 +22.7
J. Howard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1

* = starter