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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 4.7% 95.3% -
Bradley-Terry 2.6% 97.4% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +52.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 17.8% 82.2% -
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 0.9% 99.1% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +44 (105-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Nascimento 36 8-21 3-5 0-0 7 1 1 1 4 19 4 -7.9
M. Dance 32 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 7 0 0 2 8 10 -15.5
C. Geddes 29 4-13 2-5 4-6 5 2 0 0 5 14 3 -8.8
A. Cauley 26 5-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 11 9 -11.4
N. Fox 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.8
K. Rolph 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -10.1
K. Beckwith 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -17.4
J. Sallman 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 0 2 +6.7
R. Frisby-Smith 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +0.3
E. West 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -2.9
A. Gibson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
M. Long 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +3.6
S. LeGoullon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.6
A. Mikeska 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Holle 28 4-7 0-1 1-2 0 1 2 1 0 9 6 +14.8
M. Booker 27 8-11 0-1 4-4 14 4 1 0 4 20 24 +15.7
R. Harmon 26 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 8 2 0 3 9 12 +6.9
J. Lee 23 4-10 3-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 13 6 -4.5
T. Jones 20 7-10 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 2 0 19 17 +3.7
K. Oldacre 20 5-9 0-0 5-10 15 2 2 0 0 15 25 +13.4
B. Preston 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 7 1 0 0 2 10 +14.2
J. Codio 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 4 4 +18.3
N. Mwenentanda 11 4-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 10 5 -2.6
J. Carlton 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 3 +2.6
S. Graves 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.9

* = starter