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2025-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Texas A&M Aggies Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% -
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% -
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Texas A&M Aggies +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Poulakidas 38 7-18 4-10 5-5 3 1 1 0 0 23 10 -9.8
N. Townsend 37 7-13 1-3 0-3 4 4 3 0 3 15 10 -10.1
B. Mbeng 35 0-5 0-1 2-4 8 9 0 0 4 2 10 -3.7
C. Simmons 32 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 11 8 -3.2
I. Celiscar 24 5-6 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 12 10 -7.7
S. Aletan 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 +0.8
T. Mullin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -4.5
R. Fox 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 +7.9
J. Molloy 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.0
J. Brathwaite 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -3.8

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Garcia 32 2-6 1-3 2-6 8 3 1 1 0 7 14 +11.1
W. Taylor IV 29 6-13 1-6 3-6 1 5 2 0 1 16 10 +2.6
P. Payne 25 10-12 0-0 5-6 10 1 0 0 1 25 23 +10.9
Z. Phelps 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 3 +16.9
S. Washington 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 5 -
M. Obaseki 20 3-5 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 1 3 9 3 +6.6
H. Hefner 18 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 4 1 -0.4
H. Coleman III 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -0.5
J. Carter 9 4-6 2-4 0-1 4 0 1 1 1 10 9 -1.2
CJ Wilcher 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -4.5

* = starter