Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +1 (49-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hoddinott | 35 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +9.7 |
| A. LeMaster | 35 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Jo Raflo | 32 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | +10.5 |
| J. Jamison | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -0.9 |
| G. Kennerly | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5 | +7.9 |
| M. Ruff | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +10.9 |
| N. Guerard | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| T. Engelman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7.8 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Nicoletti Leite | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -5.6 |
| K. L'Amoreaux | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -8.2 |
| K. McGruder | 29 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2 | +0.4 |
| M. Andersen | 28 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -0.3 |
| R. Brown | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -16.6 |
| J. Huerter | 16 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -11.9 |
| S. Scott | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -15.7 |
| E. Selimovic | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +6.1 |
| C. Coe | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
* = starter